cmtry registration puts FUT or Astralis Major invite at risk
According to the latest European projections from VRS analyst Mischief, a registration issue involving cmtry could jeopardize the direct invites for both FUT and Astralis. While both teams are nearly certain to qualify for the Singapore Major via points, the current roster situation poses a significant risk.
Currently, cmtry is listed on both rosters. If this remains unchanged when invites are distributed, the team with the lower ranking will miss out on a direct invitation. On paper, both organizations are heavily favored to reach Stage 2, with Mischief giving them a 99.99% chance of qualifying through points. FUT is projected to finish between 4th and 9th in the European rankings, while Astralis is expected to land between 8th and 12th. However, because FUT could still fall below Astralis in the standings, they must play five matches with a new roster to resolve the conflict.
In other news, NIP is seeing a major resurgence. The addition of adamb and Krimbo has led to three consecutive event wins, boosting their Major qualification probability to 99.8%. Mischief even highlighted adamb as a potential MVP contender for the entire Major race.
Conversely, 100 Thieves are struggling. Following their performance at Stake Pulse Beat III, their chances have dropped to 40.8%. They now likely need a tournament win at FiRe to secure their spot. Meanwhile, NAVI sit at a 51.6% probability; their fate rests on PGL Masters Bucharest, where a 2:3 record would secure their path toward Beijing, while a 0:3 result would likely end their Major aspirations.
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